{"id":5333,"date":"2016-09-27T14:14:07","date_gmt":"2016-09-27T14:14:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.mycurrencytransfer.com\/blog\/?p=5333"},"modified":"2016-09-27T15:10:39","modified_gmt":"2016-09-27T15:10:39","slug":"weekly-currency-brief-20th-sep-27th-sep-2016","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.mycurrencytransfer.com\/blog\/weekly-currency-brief-20th-sep-27th-sep-2016\/","title":{"rendered":"Weekly Currency Brief &#8211; 20th Sep &#8211; 27th Sep 2016"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Moving the deckchairs<\/strong><br \/>\nSome central bankers decided to leave well alone at policy meetings during the week while a couple tinkered either with the mechanics of their programme or their guidance as to what comes next.  One tinker was Kuroda San at the Bank of Japan.  Instead of spending a set number of billions on asset purchases every week the BoJ will in future intervene to keep the yield on 10-year government bonds as close as possible to 0%.  He has also modified the bank&#8217;s inflation target, saying he would happy if it were to exceed, rather than simply reach, 2%.  The news did not discourage buyers of the yen, which was unchanged on average against the other major currencies and 1.5% higher against sterling.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Wait for it<\/strong><br \/>\nLater the same day the Federal Reserve  said it would keep the target range for its Funds Rate between 0.25% and 0.5%.  Few investors had expected any other decision.  As before, there is a suspicion that the Fed could make a tightening move before Christmas but there is no guarantee.  Investors can fairly certain, however, that the US election makes a November hike out of the question: to raise rates shortly before the vote could be seen as politically-motivated.  <\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"http:\/\/www.mycurrencytransfer.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/tokyo-skyline.jpg\" alt=\"tokyo-skyline\" width=\"750\" height=\"250\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-5338\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.mycurrencytransfer.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/tokyo-skyline.jpg 750w, https:\/\/www.mycurrencytransfer.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/tokyo-skyline-300x100.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.mycurrencytransfer.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/tokyo-skyline-480x160.jpg 480w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 750px) 100vw, 750px\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"row\">\n<div class=\"col-xs-12 MB-positive\">\n<div class=\"sf-icon-cont cont-small sf-icon-float-left sf-icon-green\"><i class=\"ss-like sf-icon sf-icon-small\"><\/i><\/div>\n<p><strong>The good news<\/strong><br \/>\nThe prospect of continued cheap money from the Bank of Japan and the evaporating threat of imminently higher dollar rates was positive for commodity-related currencies.  The South African rand, which serves as a proxy for less-easily-tradable emerging market currencies, had another good week.  It led the field on seven of the last 11 trading days, strengthening by 3.5% in a fortnight.\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"row\">\n<div class=\"col-xs-12 MB-negative\">\n<div class=\"sf-icon-cont cont-small sf-icon-float-left sf-icon-red\"><i class=\"ss-dislike sf-icon sf-icon-small\"><\/i><\/div>\n<p><strong>The bad news<\/strong><br \/>\nMario Draghi advised a European Parliament committee that no special favours should be shown to Britain in the Brexit negotiations.  His sentiment was not a surprise but it contributed to a mood that was already negative.\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong>The entertainment news<\/strong><br \/>\nOn Monday night in New York Hilary Clinton and Donald Trump argued with one another on TV about the future of the country.  Neither of  the two presidential wannabes scored a killing blow but Ms Clinton was judged to have won by a small margin.  The reaction of investors was to buy emerging market and commodity-related currencies (notably the Mexican peso) and to walk away from the safe-haven euro and Swiss franc. Over the seven days the US dollar went up by 0.5% against the pound and fell by a similar proportion against the euro.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Numb numbers<\/strong><br \/>\nThe week&#8217;s economic data did not sparkle in any direction.  There was disappointment from the US residential property market and Canadian retail sales.  Switzerland&#8217;s trade surplus was narrower than expected and New Zealand&#8217;s deficit was wider.  The NZ dollar was unchanged on the week against sterling while the franc strengthened by 1.6%.  <\/p>\n<p><strong>Another week at the bottom<\/strong><br \/>\nSterling&#8217;s wooden spoon collection continues to grow.  Fair enough, it did share it with the NZ dollar this time but the pound is putting together a fairly ugly track record.   Looking on the bright side, sterling&#8217;s average loss in the last three months is only -4.4%  It lost exactly twice that much in a single week after the referendum.<\/p>\n<div class=\"row alt-auth\">\n<div class=\"col-xs-12 col-sm-2 alt-auth-img alt-auth-moneycorp\">\n\t<\/div>\n<div class=\"col-xs-12 col-sm-10\">\n<h5>Sarah, Senior Account Manager at Moneycorp<\/h5>\n<p>\t\tMoneycorp is one of the largest international payment companies supporting over 90 currencies. Last year Moneycorp traded over \u00a322.6 billion worth of international money transfers. Find out how Moneycorp can help you with your international transfer <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mycurrencytransfer.com\/apply\/moneycorp\">here<\/a>.\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Moving the deckchairs Some central bankers decided to leave well alone at policy meetings during the week while a couple tinkered either with the mechanics of their programme or their guidance as to what comes next. One tinker was Kuroda San at the Bank of Japan. Instead of spending a set number of billions on asset purchases every week the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5337,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[110,27,23],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mycurrencytransfer.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5333"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mycurrencytransfer.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mycurrencytransfer.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mycurrencytransfer.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mycurrencytransfer.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5333"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.mycurrencytransfer.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5333\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5339,"href":"https:\/\/www.mycurrencytransfer.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5333\/revisions\/5339"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mycurrencytransfer.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5337"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mycurrencytransfer.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5333"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mycurrencytransfer.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5333"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mycurrencytransfer.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5333"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}